Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 73.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
9
4
Eichel
O'Reilly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
7
Eichel
O'Reilly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Eichel
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
55.4% (826)
-7.7%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
57.9% (221)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
50.4% (129)
-5.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
47.7% (509)
55.8% (579)
Away
48.1% (499)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
57.7%
P2
48.5%
54.8%
P3
46.8%
54.3%
OT
37.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |