Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 42 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 64-49 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 76.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 85.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 88.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
64
(113 meetings)
49
64
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
20
14
Eichel
O'Reilly
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
14
28
Eichel
O'Reilly
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
22
Eichel
O'Reilly
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
56.2% (15,260)
-11.5%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
51.4% (2,811)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
45.7% (4,899)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
45.4%
55.6%
P2
45.8%
57.0%
P3
44.2%
55.1%
OT
44.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |