Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eichel
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Eichel
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
56.1% (690)
-10.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
64.6% (96)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
45.9% (109)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
46.1% (388)
58.3% (408)
Away
44.4% (405)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
46.8%
57.7%
P2
43.4%
54.8%
P3
45.4%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |