Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 55.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 66.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 63.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
2
Eichel
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Eichel
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Eichel
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
56.2% (983)
-10.3%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
55.5% (254)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
52.0% (102)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (606)
56.2% (697)
Away
44.8% (648)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
47.2%
54.5%
P2
46.9%
55.5%
P3
42.7%
57.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |