Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 87.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 78.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 6: Eichel 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Eichel
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
55.0% (1,084)
-8.6%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
56.8% (303)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
40.3% (149)
+1.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
44.0% (457)
54.8% (759)
Away
47.0% (451)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
45.1%
55.3%
P2
46.5%
51.9%
P3
45.3%
54.2%
OT
28.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
41.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |