Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (34.6% vs 34.0%). Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs McBain 41.9% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 74.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Hughes
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
37.2% (86)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
17.6% (17)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Hughes
McBain
Home
32.6% (187)
33.8% (68)
Away
36.7% (166)
34.3% (35)
By Period
Hughes
McBain
P1
33.9%
40.6%
P2
34.2%
40.5%
P3
36.5%
20.6%
Final 5 min
29.7%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%