Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs McBain 45.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 81.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 58.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Hughes
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hughes
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
46.3% (568)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
On power play, Hughes has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Hughes
McBain
Home
38.4% (198)
50.6% (330)
Away
35.3% (119)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Hughes
McBain
P1
44.3%
45.4%
P2
34.2%
44.5%
P3
34.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jack McBain |