Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs McBain 49.9% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Hughes
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Hughes
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
51.2% (424)
-13.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
46.2% (13)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
27.3% (22)
+9.1%
On even strength, McBain has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Hughes
McBain
Home
36.6% (314)
53.6% (235)
Away
38.5% (353)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Hughes
McBain
P1
36.4%
48.6%
P2
35.6%
50.9%
P3
41.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jack McBain |