Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Drouin 48.8% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.4%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.9%
Neutral zone
Drouin 51.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hughes
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
48.3% (58)
-13.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
42.9% (7)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Drouin is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Hughes
Drouin
Home
32.6% (187)
45.8% (24)
Away
36.7% (166)
47.6% (42)
By Period
Hughes
Drouin
P1
33.9%
46.2%
P2
34.2%
43.5%
P3
36.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
29.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%