Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Drouin 50.8% (-14.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 55.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 62.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hughes
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
51.7% (60)
-16.1%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
52.0% (25)
-2.0%
On even strength, Drouin has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Hughes
Drouin
Home
38.4% (198)
57.9% (57)
Away
35.3% (119)
39.3% (28)
By Period
Hughes
Drouin
P1
44.3%
61.8%
P2
34.2%
50.0%
P3
34.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
40.4%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%