Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Drouin 48.4% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 60.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.6%
Neutral zone
Drouin 50.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Hughes
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
42.1% (19)
-4.2%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Drouin has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Drouin is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Hughes
Drouin
Home
36.6% (314)
46.2% (13)
Away
38.5% (353)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Hughes
Drouin
P1
36.4%
42.9%
P2
35.6%
30.0%
P3
41.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
40.9%