Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Dach 45.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 58.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 69.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Hughes
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Hughes
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Hughes
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
39.8% (108)
-3.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
57.1% (7)
-42.8%
On power play, Dach has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dach
Home
35.1% (148)
43.1% (72)
Away
37.4% (131)
37.2% (43)
By Period
Hughes
Dach
P1
43.0%
37.8%
P2
28.7%
41.7%
P3
35.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
28.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |