Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Dach 43.2% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.1%
Defensive zone
Dach 61.8%
Neutral zone
Dach 54.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Hughes
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
39.6% (217)
-1.7%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
47.6% (21)
-14.3%
On power play, Dach has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dach
Home
36.6% (314)
37.8% (127)
Away
38.5% (353)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Hughes
Dach
P1
36.4%
32.9%
P2
35.6%
36.3%
P3
41.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
36.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%