Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Dach 41.9% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 68.9%
Defensive zone
Dach 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 60.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Hughes
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
38.5% (213)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.0% (5)
-6.7%
On power play, Hughes has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dach
Home
37.4% (235)
38.8% (147)
Away
33.2% (229)
37.5% (80)
By Period
Hughes
Dach
P1
37.1%
36.3%
P2
33.7%
40.0%
P3
34.8%
40.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
27.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%