Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Dach 35.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 78.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 55.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Hughes
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Hughes
Dach
Last 10: Hughes 9-1 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
6
1
Hughes
Dach
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
32.5% (510)
+2.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
36.8% (19)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
37.5% (16)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Dach has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dach
Home
32.6% (187)
33.5% (278)
Away
36.7% (166)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Hughes
Dach
P1
33.9%
35.3%
P2
34.2%
30.6%
P3
36.5%
33.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |