Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Hughes wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 71.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 75.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
21
(37 meetings)
16
21
Hughes
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hughes
Zibanejad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
11
Hughes
Zibanejad
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
10
6
Hughes
Zibanejad
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
47.8% (667)
-12.1%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
51.4% (181)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
36.0% (186)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
37.8% (333)
48.4% (529)
Away
32.4% (278)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
38.8%
46.2%
P2
28.3%
47.7%
P3
38.6%
44.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
31.7%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |