Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 63.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 72.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hughes
Zibanejad
Last 9: Hughes 4-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Hughes
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
53.4% (770)
-16.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
46.2% (39)
-31.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.7% (141)
-11.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
35.1% (148)
49.0% (429)
Away
37.4% (131)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
43.0%
53.0%
P2
28.7%
51.1%
P3
35.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |