Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 59.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 76.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hughes
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hughes
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Hughes
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hughes
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
52.9% (870)
-15.0%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
53.5% (43)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
46.2% (143)
-9.8%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
36.6% (314)
55.1% (501)
Away
38.5% (353)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
36.4%
57.5%
P2
35.6%
50.7%
P3
41.8%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |