Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 65.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 67.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hughes
Zibanejad
Last 5: Hughes 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Hughes
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
54.0% (955)
-19.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
55.6% (243)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
35.0% (140)
-10.0%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
32.6% (187)
55.2% (656)
Away
36.7% (166)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
33.9%
56.3%
P2
34.2%
50.0%
P3
36.5%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
29.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |