Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 86.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hughes
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hughes
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
50.1% (1,051)
-15.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.3% (120)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
41.9% (227)
-8.6%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
37.4% (235)
49.0% (681)
Away
33.2% (229)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
37.1%
49.9%
P2
33.7%
47.6%
P3
34.8%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |