Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 30.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Frost 54.9% (-21.2%)
Offensive zone
Frost 74.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Hughes
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (151)
54.1% (521)
-19.0%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
59.6% (141)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
100.0% (5)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Hughes is 30.2% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Hughes shoots left. Frost is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Hughes
Frost
Home
32.4% (74)
57.2% (339)
Away
36.0% (89)
54.0% (328)
By Period
Hughes
Frost
P1
38.8%
58.2%
P2
27.6%
55.6%
P3
36.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
29.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
55.6%