Jack Hughes vs Morgan Frost

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hughes 39.8% vs Frost 55.7% (-20.1%)
Offensive zone Frost 73.4%
Defensive zone Frost 62.4%
Neutral zone Frost 51.4%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Hughes Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hughes
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
54.9% (701)
-18.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
60.8% (166)
-46.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
100.0% (5)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +66.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Hughes
Frost
Home
35.1% (148)
56.0% (443)
Away
37.4% (131)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Hughes
Frost
P1
43.0%
58.9%
P2
28.7%
55.3%
P3
35.2%
54.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%
36.0%
36.2%
Frost
62.0%
59.0%
56.3%