Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Suzuki 47.5% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 90.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 84.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 84.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Hughes
Suzuki
Last 10: Hughes 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Hughes
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Hughes
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Hughes
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
47.0% (1,066)
-12.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
49.5% (204)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.6% (131)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
37.4% (235)
49.4% (686)
Away
33.2% (229)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
37.1%
45.6%
P2
33.7%
46.9%
P3
34.8%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
32.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |