Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Suzuki 49.5% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hughes
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (151)
50.5% (701)
-15.4%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
50.0% (212)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
34.5% (55)
-1.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
32.4% (74)
49.6% (486)
Away
36.0% (89)
49.4% (482)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
38.8%
51.1%
P2
27.6%
46.0%
P3
36.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
29.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |