Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 23-10 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 91.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 98.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 97.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
23
(33 meetings)
10
23
Hughes
Suzuki
Last 10: Hughes 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
8
4
Hughes
Suzuki
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
10
Hughes
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
9
Hughes
Suzuki
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
49.4% (6,327)
-13.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
50.7% (1,338)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
43.6% (456)
-12.6%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
36.8% (1,670)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
36.9%
48.8%
P2
33.6%
49.1%
P3
38.1%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
34.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |