Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 71.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 72.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hughes
Suzuki
Last 7: Hughes 2-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hughes
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Hughes
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
52.4% (981)
-14.5%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
50.7% (304)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
36.4% (33)
+0.0%
On power play, Suzuki has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
36.6% (314)
53.2% (645)
Away
38.5% (353)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
36.4%
48.9%
P2
35.6%
51.5%
P3
41.8%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |