Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Hughes wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Backstrom 48.5% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 78.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 85.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 86.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Hughes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Hughes
Backstrom
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
3
Hughes
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Hughes
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
7
Hughes
Backstrom
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
48.7% (635)
-13.0%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
42.0% (50)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
50.0% (46)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Hughes shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Hughes
Backstrom
Home
37.8% (333)
48.0% (348)
Away
32.4% (278)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Hughes
Backstrom
P1
38.8%
49.6%
P2
28.3%
48.2%
P3
38.6%
47.3%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
31.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |