Jack Hughes vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 87.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 94.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Hughes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Hughes
Backstrom
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
5
Hughes
Backstrom
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
4
Hughes
Backstrom
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
10
Hughes
Backstrom
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
50.4% (11,581)
-14.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
52.3% (1,895)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.0% (889)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Hughes
Backstrom
Home
36.8% (1,670)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Hughes
Backstrom
P1
36.9%
50.1%
P2
33.6%
49.7%
P3
38.1%
51.6%
OT
37.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
34.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |