Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 69.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 76.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 58.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Hughes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hughes
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Hughes
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
51.4% (473)
-16.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
39.5% (38)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Hughes
Backstrom
Home
37.4% (235)
53.6% (278)
Away
33.2% (229)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Hughes
Backstrom
P1
37.1%
51.5%
P2
33.7%
56.0%
P3
34.8%
43.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |