Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 62.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 68.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Hughes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Hughes
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Hughes
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
47.0% (541)
-12.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
47.4% (95)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
15.4% (13)
+9.6%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Hughes
Backstrom
Home
32.6% (187)
48.5% (328)
Away
36.7% (166)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Hughes
Backstrom
P1
33.9%
44.8%
P2
34.2%
42.9%
P3
36.5%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
29.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |