Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 84.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 58.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Hughes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Hughes
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
53.2% (77)
-17.6%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Hughes
Backstrom
Home
38.4% (198)
54.5% (55)
Away
35.3% (119)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Hughes
Backstrom
P1
44.3%
50.0%
P2
34.2%
52.9%
P3
34.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |