Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Zacha 50.1% (-15.5%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Hughes
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
48.0% (296)
-13.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
61.0% (59)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.0% (22)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zacha
Home
32.6% (187)
48.9% (223)
Away
36.7% (166)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Hughes
Zacha
P1
33.9%
47.9%
P2
34.2%
48.3%
P3
36.5%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
29.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%