Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Hughes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hughes
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hughes
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
53.9% (787)
-18.3%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
63.2% (193)
-13.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zacha
Home
38.4% (198)
56.7% (538)
Away
35.3% (119)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Hughes
Zacha
P1
44.3%
52.6%
P2
34.2%
54.8%
P3
34.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
40.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |