Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Zacha 46.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 62.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 56.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 60.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Hughes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Hughes
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Hughes
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
45.3% (247)
-10.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
22.2% (18)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zacha
Home
37.4% (235)
39.7% (131)
Away
33.2% (229)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Hughes
Zacha
P1
37.1%
42.9%
P2
33.7%
46.4%
P3
34.8%
42.3%
OT
100.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
32.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |