Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Zacha 49.1% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 65.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Hughes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Hughes
Zacha
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
5
Hughes
Zacha
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
48.9% (5,102)
-12.9%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
55.6% (804)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
42.2% (555)
-11.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zacha
Home
36.8% (1,670)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Hughes
Zacha
P1
36.9%
49.9%
P2
33.6%
49.2%
P3
38.1%
48.1%
OT
37.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
34.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |