Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-22.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 92.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 56.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 81.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Hughes
Kuraly
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Hughes
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Hughes
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
58.4% (310)
-22.7%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
66.7% (6)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
53.0% (83)
-36.3%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
37.8% (333)
57.1% (184)
Away
32.4% (278)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
38.8%
56.0%
P2
28.3%
56.6%
P3
38.6%
58.0%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
31.7%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2021 | OT | 01:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |