Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Hughes wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 21-7 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 98.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 86.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 96.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
21
(28 meetings)
7
21
Hughes
Kuraly
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
12
Hughes
Kuraly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
8
Hughes
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
51.5% (5,067)
-15.6%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
56.0% (100)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.0% (1,063)
-13.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
36.7% (1,596)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
36.3%
50.8%
P2
33.7%
50.0%
P3
38.3%
49.9%
OT
37.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
34.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |