Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hughes
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Hughes
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Hughes
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
49.2% (901)
-14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
68.2% (22)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.8% (219)
-16.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
37.4% (235)
51.7% (603)
Away
33.2% (229)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
37.1%
50.9%
P2
33.7%
49.5%
P3
34.8%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |