Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Hughes
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
51.8% (444)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.3% (150)
-12.0%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
35.1% (148)
54.6% (304)
Away
37.4% (131)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
43.0%
55.2%
P2
28.7%
45.7%
P3
35.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |