Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 93.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 72.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Hughes
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
49.4% (445)
-13.8%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
100.0% (3)
-50.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
38.4% (198)
49.2% (248)
Away
35.3% (119)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
44.3%
48.3%
P2
34.2%
44.7%
P3
34.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |