Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Thompson 43.8% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hughes
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
43.3% (735)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (26)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
36.5% (52)
-3.2%
On even strength, Thompson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Hughes
Thompson
Home
37.4% (235)
44.5% (407)
Away
33.2% (229)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Hughes
Thompson
P1
37.1%
44.4%
P2
33.7%
44.8%
P3
34.8%
40.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
32.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.3%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.1%