Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Thompson 44.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 90.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 77.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Hughes
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Hughes
Thompson
Last 7: Hughes 7-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
44.6% (709)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
41.5% (53)
+8.5%
On even strength, Thompson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Hughes
Thompson
Home
38.4% (198)
45.5% (426)
Away
35.3% (119)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Hughes
Thompson
P1
44.3%
48.5%
P2
34.2%
43.8%
P3
34.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |