Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Zegras 39.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Hughes
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hughes
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Hughes
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
38.6% (1,669)
-2.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
38.5% (148)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
28.6% (7)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
36.8% (1,670)
39.9% (882)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
36.9%
40.2%
P2
33.6%
38.0%
P3
38.1%
37.7%
OT
37.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
34.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |