Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Zegras 43.3% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 69.8%
Defensive zone
Zegras 61.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 58.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hughes
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
39.8% (128)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On power play, Hughes has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
38.4% (198)
29.7% (74)
Away
35.3% (119)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
44.3%
40.7%
P2
34.2%
35.1%
P3
34.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%