Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Zegras 41.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 58.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Hughes
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Hughes
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
36.5% (156)
+1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
40.7% (27)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
0.0% (3)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
36.6% (314)
38.9% (113)
Away
38.5% (353)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
36.4%
40.0%
P2
35.6%
38.1%
P3
41.8%
31.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |