Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 60.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hughes
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
39.4% (510)
-4.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
47.1% (34)
-4.2%
On even strength, Zegras has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
32.6% (187)
42.3% (272)
Away
36.7% (166)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
33.9%
37.6%
P2
34.2%
41.5%
P3
36.5%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
29.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%