Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Zegras 35.4% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.9%
Defensive zone
Zegras 51.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Hughes
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
29.6% (230)
+7.2%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
32.1% (56)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
35.1% (148)
30.6% (147)
Away
37.4% (131)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
43.0%
33.0%
P2
28.7%
31.7%
P3
35.2%
25.6%
Final 5 min
28.6%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%