Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs McBain 49.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Lowry
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
McBain
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lowry
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
51.2% (424)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
46.2% (13)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
27.3% (22)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Lowry
McBain
Home
53.0% (583)
53.6% (235)
Away
50.6% (605)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Lowry
McBain
P1
52.1%
48.6%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
52.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |