Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs McBain 44.7% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 90.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 70.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Hughes
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
McBain
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Hughes
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Hughes
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
45.3% (675)
-10.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (16)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.6% (149)
-4.3%
On even strength, McBain has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Hughes
McBain
Home
37.4% (235)
45.5% (437)
Away
33.2% (229)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Hughes
McBain
P1
37.1%
43.5%
P2
33.7%
44.0%
P3
34.8%
45.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |