Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Staal 56.8% (-23.3%)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
McBain
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
58.9% (1,041)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
49.1% (171)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
McBain
Staal
Home
33.8% (68)
59.0% (578)
Away
34.3% (35)
55.9% (707)
By Period
McBain
Staal
P1
40.6%
57.1%
P2
40.5%
60.9%
P3
20.6%
55.8%
Final 5 min
35.7%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%